Flood-Risk Assessment & Early-Warning System for the Lower Niger Basin

August 13, 2025

Project snapshot

  1. Objective: Produce near-real-time flood-extent maps and 72-hour flood-forecast layers for the LMB to support disaster-risk reduction and emergency response.
  2. Key deliverables:
  • 10 m-resolution seasonal flood-frequency layers (2015-2023)
  • Web-based interactive early-warning dashboard updated every 6 hours during monsoon season
  • Open-data API for national hydro-meteorological agencies
  1. Methodology highlights:
  • Sentinel-1 SAR backscatter thresholding for cloud-penetrating flood detection.
  • Machine-learning (Random-Forest) classification of Sentinel-2 imagery to refine urban vs. agricultural inundation zones.
  • Coupling of HEC-RAS hydraulic model outputs with GIS layers to forecast extent and depth.